The only way that T.J. Yates leads the Texans beyond the divisional playoffs is if T.J. Yates does not have to "lead" the Texans, AND Andre Johnson comes back, AND they have home field advantage. I'm not going to go on and on about how Yates isn't any good, I actually think he is serviceable, especially compared to some of the truly lousy quarterbacks out there. (I'm looking at you Matt Moore and Caleb Hanie.)
Rather than ability the larger issue for Yates is that he's a rookie and his team is very light on talent and depth at the running back position. It's not like they can just line up and smash it 50 times and only throw on 3rd 8+. He's going to have to win them games, which is already difficult enough in the playoffs but if you take away Johnson and put Houston on the road in the cold in Pittsburgh, New England, or Baltimore I don't think it will be pretty.
But, if they can hold onto home field, get Denver-esque defense (turnovers), and not fall behind to where they would need to throw to come back then I wouldn't rule them out. That defense is vicious even without Mario Williams and they can run it enough with Tate when they're playing from the front. In order to hang onto home field however, they won't be able to lose, not even one out of three because either Pittsburgh or New England are running the table.
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